Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.081072 0.093695 0.107630 0.124156 0.143221 0.164530 0.190164
2026-01-04 0.062032 0.079201 0.100096 0.127401 0.162162 0.204972 0.261767
2026-01-11 0.051603 0.070646 0.095458 0.130164 0.177502 0.239899 0.328559
2026-01-18 0.043993 0.063751 0.090966 0.131204 0.189262 0.270143 0.391685
2026-01-25 0.037567 0.057185 0.085538 0.129522 0.196149 0.293523 0.447119
2026-02-01 0.031923 0.050779 0.079229 0.125299 0.198193 0.309387 0.492560
2026-02-08 0.028799 0.047687 0.077327 0.127246 0.209432 0.339803 0.563251
2026-02-15 0.025913 0.044534 0.074836 0.127758 0.218155 0.366841 0.631210
2026-02-22 0.023690 0.042156 0.073241 0.129408 0.228709 0.397662 0.708566
2026-03-01 0.021075 0.038751 0.069474 0.126794 0.231475 0.415358 0.764869
2026-03-08 0.018919 0.035885 0.066284 0.124747 0.234855 0.434215 0.824973
2026-03-15 0.017506 0.034205 0.065004 0.125979 0.244239 0.464635 0.909480
2026-03-22 0.016768 0.033747 0.065982 0.131675 0.262879 0.514553 1.037636
2026-03-29 0.015807 0.032743 0.065812 0.135134 0.277596 0.558644 1.159688
2026-04-05 0.014882 0.031694 0.065420 0.138065 0.291513 0.602520 1.286148
2026-04-12 0.013864 0.030325 0.064222 0.139169 0.301727 0.639892 1.403163
2026-04-19 0.012682 0.028467 0.061799 0.137384 0.305577 0.664382 1.495237
2026-04-26 0.011396 0.026229 0.058322 0.132905 0.303032 0.674914 1.557673
2026-05-03 0.010773 0.025404 0.057821 0.134970 0.315244 0.718749 1.699950
2026-05-10 0.010088 0.024358 0.056712 0.135513 0.324008 0.755737 1.830462
2026-05-17 0.009549 0.023592 0.056153 0.137263 0.335751 0.800655 1.984652
2026-05-24 0.008759 0.022129 0.053814 0.134490 0.336346 0.819557 2.077818
2026-05-31 0.008080 0.020864 0.051813 0.132319 0.338161 0.841514 2.180969